Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000281 0.000314 0.000349 0.000390 0.000435 0.000484 0.000540
2025-05-11 0.000234 0.000279 0.000330 0.000392 0.000465 0.000549 0.000653
2025-05-18 0.000198 0.000249 0.000310 0.000388 0.000486 0.000603 0.000755
2025-05-25 0.000174 0.000229 0.000299 0.000392 0.000514 0.000666 0.000873
2025-06-01 0.000152 0.000209 0.000284 0.000388 0.000529 0.000714 0.000974
2025-06-08 0.000135 0.000194 0.000273 0.000387 0.000547 0.000765 0.001082
2025-06-15 0.000122 0.000181 0.000264 0.000388 0.000568 0.000819 0.001198
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.000169 0.000254 0.000385 0.000581 0.000865 0.001303
2025-06-29 0.000102 0.000162 0.000250 0.000391 0.000607 0.000928 0.001439
2025-07-06 0.000094 0.000154 0.000245 0.000392 0.000627 0.000983 0.001566
2025-07-13 0.000086 0.000144 0.000236 0.000389 0.000637 0.001024 0.001673
2025-07-20 0.000082 0.000141 0.000236 0.000399 0.000670 0.001103 0.001844
2025-07-27 0.000077 0.000136 0.000233 0.000405 0.000697 0.001174 0.002011
2025-08-03 0.000072 0.000131 0.000230 0.000408 0.000721 0.001243 0.002181
2025-08-10 0.000066 0.000123 0.000223 0.000405 0.000733 0.001292 0.002320
2025-08-17 0.000062 0.000119 0.000220 0.000410 0.000758 0.001366 0.002507
2025-08-24 0.000057 0.000113 0.000213 0.000406 0.000767 0.001413 0.002648
2025-08-31 0.000054 0.000107 0.000207 0.000405 0.000782 0.001469 0.002811
2025-09-07 0.000050 0.000103 0.000204 0.000406 0.000801 0.001534 0.002994
2025-09-14 0.000047 0.000098 0.000198 0.000403 0.000811 0.001584 0.003152
2025-09-21 0.000045 0.000096 0.000197 0.000409 0.000839 0.001668 0.003381
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000093 0.000194 0.000411 0.000859 0.001739 0.003590
2025-10-05 0.000039 0.000088 0.000189 0.000407 0.000867 0.001786 0.003753